Decision-Making Under Uncertainty

Commit to high-stakes calls with incomplete data, defend them under scrutiny, and course-correct fast.

Annie Duke proved that expert decision-making is about evaluating odds and outcomes separately. A good decision can produce a bad outcome. A bad decision can produce a good outcome. This lab builds the judgment to make good-enough decisions fast enough to learn and adjust.

The WAGER Framework

What Do I Actually Know? · Asymmetry Check · Good Enough Threshold · Escape Routes · Record the Reasoning

"In any moment of decision, the best thing you can do is the right thing, the next best thing is the wrong thing, and the worst thing you can do is nothing." — Theodore Roosevelt

Key Insight

40% of major business decisions are eventually reversed. The goal is judgment, not perfection.

What's In Every Kit

• 1 Facilitator Guide
• 10 Participant Workbooks
• Scenario Cards

Your manager facilitates. Your team practices. No external trainer required.

Session duration: 60–90 minutes · Up to 10 learners per kit